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Red47
809211.6
1044513.5
Blue25
956510.2
1052819.0
96105.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4031010205060704725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
16Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
16Foul points0
47Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.50.5
13.412.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
blue by 5.5
19.00.5
13.913.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Second
8092
#36
11.60.5
12.011.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
red by 1.3
9565
#40
10.20.5
7.36.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
8.60.5
10.59.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
red by 3.4
9610
#47
5.10.5
7.97.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed