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Red78
1042837.0
1053211.0
855723.6
Blue94
1060425.7
1067512.9
643132.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72490204060801001207894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
45Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points6
78Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.1
27.929.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 5.0
32.14.1
14.518.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
Second
8557
#21
23.61.1
19.820.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
blue by 2.1
25.74.1
21.225.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
Third
11.01.1
14.115.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 1.9
12.94.1
9.513.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed