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Red139
948371.1
1024416.3
963538.4
Blue17
923215.7
82619.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091705010015013917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+114Teleop
+128Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
0Leave0
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +77
16Coral scored#3
58Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
86Total teleop9
Reef
10L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
5L1 · trough#0
29Game pieces#3
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points6
139Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.15.4
50.455.8
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
red by 55.4
9232
#12
15.71.7
14.913.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3
Second
38.45.4
27.633.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
red by 28.9
8261
#35
9.51.7
5.94.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Third
16.35.4
12.317.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 12.9
3.41.7
5.53.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned