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Red70
683833.5
90259.0
80546.2
Blue37
815113.9
90434.8
1060811.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603002040801001207037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
8Coral scored#1
29Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
41Total teleop9
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
12Foul points12
70Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.3
32.432.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 19.6
8151
#22
13.90.6
11.010.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Second
9025
#13
9.00.3
7.47.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
blue by 2.4
11.40.6
12.011.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
8054
#42
6.20.3
9.49.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
red by 1.4
9043
#37DQ
4.80.6
7.06.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed