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Red61
729610.9
815949.7
Blue72
874710.5
801120.8
969412.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68460204060801006172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
48Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points8
61Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
35.635.7
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 28.8
8011
#14
20.82.3
18.921.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
7296
#34
10.90.1
12.512.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
blue by 1.1
9694
#27
12.02.3
9.311.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Third
9.80.1
9.79.8
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 0.6
8747
#17
10.52.3
14.817.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned