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Red67
703510.6
1046515.7
602525.6
Blue53
1004110.7
645945.2
76115.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504910203040607080906753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
42Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
12Foul points0
67Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.2
21.322.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.7
blue by 19.6
45.20.6
30.531.0
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
Second
15.71.2
10.011.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 5.0
10.70.6
12.312.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Third
7035
#30
10.61.2
12.713.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End1.0
red by 5.2
7611
#44
5.40.6
5.05.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed