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Red65
1024416.3
683833.5
Blue47
1057612.4
958314.2
855723.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67470204060801001206547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+22Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points6
65Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.1
32.732.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 9.9
8557
#21
23.60.5
20.920.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Second
16.30.1
17.717.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 2.1
9583
#15
14.20.5
11.410.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Third
9.80.1
9.89.7
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 2.5
12.40.5
13.613.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed