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Red29
815113.9
1046515.7
1004110.7
Blue74
824211.6
815949.7
1053211.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32730204060801001201402974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
29Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.6
11.210.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 33.9
49.71.4
35.737.1
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
Second
8151
#22
13.90.6
10.49.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 2.2
8242
#39
11.61.4
10.812.2
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
10.70.6
12.812.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 0.3
11.01.4
15.216.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed