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Red86
801120.8
948371.1
90259.0
Blue10
703510.6
96105.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103200501508610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave0
4Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
27Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +49
10Coral scored#2
37Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
55Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
86Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.10.1
55.856.0
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
red by 60.4
7035
#30
10.61.9
13.912.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Second
8011
#14
20.80.1
21.321.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 15.7
9610
#47
5.11.9
7.55.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Third
9025
#13
9.00.1
7.77.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
red by 4.1
5.01.9
5.33.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed