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Red79
958314.2
643132.1
1024416.3
Blue34
1060811.4
951015.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573002040801001207934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+29Teleop
+33Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
48Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
12Foul points0
79Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.9
21.823.7
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
red by 16.6
9510
#25
15.40.3
13.914.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Second
16.31.9
17.619.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 4.9
11.40.3
10.610.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
9583
#15
14.21.9
10.812.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 7.1
7.10.3
7.17.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed