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Red77
1057612.4
923215.7
815949.7
Blue10
80546.2
824211.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions752802040601001207710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+71Teleop
+69Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +47
8Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
47Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
4L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points2
77Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.6
37.138.6
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 38.0
8242
#39
11.62.5
12.29.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Second
9232
#12
15.71.6
12.814.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3
red by 7.1
8.62.5
9.26.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Third
12.41.6
13.114.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 6.2
8054
#42
6.22.5
8.86.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed