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Red26
1004110.7
809211.6
Blue55
729610.9
90259.0
641726.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27490204060801001202655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
14Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points12
26Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8092
#36
11.60.7
12.411.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 14.7
6417
#10
26.30.1
25.225.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
10.70.7
12.211.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 0.2
7296
#34
10.90.1
10.810.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
Third
3.40.7
4.23.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 5.6
9025
#13
9.00.1
7.87.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed