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Red43
855723.6
Blue74
815113.9
80546.2
815949.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30670204060801001204374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+29
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +11
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
28Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points6
43Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#21
23.61.2
20.021.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
blue by 26.1
49.71.3
38.639.9
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
Second
7.11.2
7.38.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 6.8
8151
#22
13.91.3
10.812.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
3.41.2
3.64.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 2.8
8054
#42
6.21.3
6.47.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed