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Red102
82619.5
1060811.4
602525.6
Blue70
641726.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424020608010010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
56Foul points0
102Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.7
22.521.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.7
blue by 0.6
6417
#10
26.31.9
25.127.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
11.40.7
10.810.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
red by 1.6
9.81.9
9.311.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
8261
#35
9.50.7
7.77.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
red by 0.9
8.61.9
6.88.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned