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Red26
90434.8
1057612.4
Blue86
963538.4
1067512.9
1052819.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316602040801001201402686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points27
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
16Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points10
26Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.40.7
14.613.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 26.0
38.42.0
31.533.5
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
Second
10251
#45DQ
9.80.7
11.711.0
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End0.5
blue by 9.2
19.02.0
17.219.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Third
9043
#37
4.80.7
6.86.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 8.1
12.92.0
8.410.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed