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Red102
645945.2
824211.6
Blue27
1044513.5
729610.9
96105.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522702040608010010227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+45Teleop
+51Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +52
12Coral scored#3
42Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
66Total teleop14
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
24Foul points0
102Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.23.3
33.336.6
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
red by 31.8
13.50.2
14.714.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
Second
8242
#39
11.63.3
9.713.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 0.7
7296
#34
10.90.2
10.710.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
Third
5.03.3
2.86.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 0.2
9610
#47
5.10.2
3.33.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed