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Red14
1053211.0
969412.0
956510.2
Blue27
90259.0
874710.5
951015.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801001427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop14
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
14Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9694
#27
12.03.6
15.712.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 3.4
9510
#25
15.40.8
14.113.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Second
11.03.6
15.411.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
red by 0.6
8747
#17
10.50.8
13.012.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Third
9565
#40
10.23.6
11.17.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 1.2
9025
#13
9.00.8
7.76.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed