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Red41
824211.6
805810.6
1024416.3
Blue70
90434.8
1060425.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060804170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
16Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
12Foul points44
41Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.31.4
17.716.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 9.4
25.71.2
26.425.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
Second
8242
#39
11.61.4
13.011.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 6.7
5.01.2
6.25.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Third
8058
#32
10.61.4
12.811.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 5.8
9043
#37
4.81.2
6.04.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned