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Red95
815949.7
1067512.9
82619.5
Blue51
1060811.4
809211.6
92657.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73270204060801001201409551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points8
95Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.72.5
39.942.4
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 38.1
8092
#36
11.61.3
10.211.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Second
12.92.5
10.412.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End1.2
red by 1.5
11.41.3
10.111.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
8261
#35
9.52.5
7.09.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
red by 1.7
9265
#38
7.81.3
6.07.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed