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Red24
95919.9
1004110.7
Blue13
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272601020304050602413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +7
2Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
7Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#0
0L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points4
24Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.70.1
10.810.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
red by 0.9
9.81.4
11.39.8
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Second
9591
#28
9.90.1
3.43.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 3.7
8054
#42
6.21.4
7.66.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Third
8.60.1
8.78.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
red by 5.2
3.41.4
4.83.4
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed