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Red70
963538.4
641726.3
874710.5
Blue116
643132.1
90259.0
815113.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85430206010012014070116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+30
Endgame+26
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +29
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
12Foul points32
70Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.7
33.531.8
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
red by 6.3
32.12.8
26.429.2
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
Second
6417
#10
26.31.7
27.025.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 12.4
8151
#22
13.92.8
12.114.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
8747
#17
10.51.7
12.210.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 1.4
9025
#13
9.02.8
6.99.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned