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Red27
1057612.4
1059819.8
Blue82
1044513.5
801120.8
1042837.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328402040601001201401602782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points20
27Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.5
14.112.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 17.2
37.01.0
35.234.2
Auto10.8
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Second
12.41.5
13.912.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 8.5
8011
#14
20.81.0
22.921.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
7.11.5
8.67.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 6.4
13.51.0
14.513.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned