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Red22
1053211.0
958314.2
76115.4
Blue126
956510.2
923215.7
948371.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2196040608012014016022126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+86
Endgame+88
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +75
1Coral scored#18
5Coral points66
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
9Total teleop84
Reef
1L4#8
0L3#9
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points16
22Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9583
#15
14.20.8
15.414.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 56.9
71.12.7
61.163.8
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
Second
11.00.8
11.911.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 4.6
9232
#12
15.72.7
13.616.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3
Third
7611
#44
5.40.8
3.52.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 4.8
9565
#40
10.22.7
7.610.2
Auto0.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned