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Red173
1059819.8
948371.1
815949.7
Blue40
805810.6
90259.0
951015.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1422705010020017340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+123Teleop
+133Endgame
+133Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave0
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points6
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +85
24Coral scored#3
85Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
103Total teleop18
Reef
13L4#2
12L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
36Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +133
12Foul points12
173Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.11.3
63.865.1
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
red by 55.6
9510
#25
15.40.3
16.215.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Second
49.71.3
42.443.7
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 39.0
8058
#32
10.60.3
11.411.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
19.81.3
12.613.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
red by 10.8
9025
#13
9.00.3
9.89.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2