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Red203
1059819.8
948371.1
815949.7
Blue143
645945.2
963538.4
95919.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1427750100200203143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#20
81Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
121Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#8
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +60
24Foul points0
203Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.11.2
66.868.1
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
red by 25.8
45.21.6
41.142.7
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
Second
49.71.2
45.546.7
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 11.3
38.41.6
34.335.9
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
Third
19.81.2
15.616.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
red by 9.9
9591
#28
9.91.6
5.87.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8