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Red74
1060425.7
683833.5
92657.8
Blue98
969412.0
641726.3
602525.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776840601007498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
47Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points6
74Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.2
33.233.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 7.2
6417
#10
26.30.9
24.925.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
25.70.2
25.525.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
Level
25.60.9
24.325.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Third
9265
#38
7.80.2
7.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 4.2
9694
#27
12.00.9
10.611.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9