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Red106
1042837.0
76115.4
643132.1
Blue50
815113.9
801120.8
958314.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784920406010012014010650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+50Teleop
+54Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +52
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points9
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
71Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +56
16Foul points14
106Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.5
35.636.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 16.2
8011
#14
20.80.4
21.320.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
32.10.5
30.731.1
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
red by 17.9
9583
#15
14.20.4
14.614.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Third
7611
#44
5.40.5
4.04.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 8.4
8151
#22
13.90.4
14.313.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4