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Red131
645945.2
963538.4
95919.9
Blue100
1060425.7
683833.5
92657.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8871406080100120140160131100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
90Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +31
18Foul points18
131Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.0
40.141.1
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
red by 11.8
33.50.5
32.733.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Second
38.41.0
33.234.3
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
red by 12.7
25.70.5
24.925.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
Third
9591
#28
9.91.0
4.85.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 2.1
9265
#38
7.80.5
7.17.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5