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Red201
1059819.8
948371.1
815949.7
Blue120
1042837.0
76115.4
643132.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416050100200201120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points28
51Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +30
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points52
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
116Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#6
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +81
18Foul points0
201Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.11.8
65.166.8
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
red by 34.0
37.01.6
34.035.6
Auto10.8
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Second
49.71.8
43.745.5
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 17.6
32.11.6
29.030.7
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
Third
19.81.8
13.815.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
red by 14.4
7611
#44
5.41.6
2.44.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.2