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Red45
855723.6
923215.7
1052819.0
Blue48
815113.9
801120.8
1046515.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522040801004548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +15
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
32Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
45Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#21
23.60.4
24.023.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
red by 2.7
8011
#14
20.80.1
21.421.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
19.00.4
19.419.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
red by 3.2
15.70.1
15.915.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Third
9232
#12
15.70.4
16.115.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3
red by 1.8
8151
#22
13.90.1
14.414.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4