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Red26
805810.6
90259.0
951015.4
Blue65
969412.0
641726.3
602525.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377302060801001201402665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
3Coral scored#5
11Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
11Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
26Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9510
#25
15.40.5
15.915.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 10.8
6417
#10
26.30.2
25.124.9
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
8058
#32
10.60.5
11.110.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 15.0
25.60.2
24.524.3
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Third
9025
#13
9.00.5
9.59.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
blue by 3.0
9694
#27
12.00.2
10.810.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9