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Red72
1060425.7
683833.5
92657.8
Blue59
815113.9
801120.8
1046515.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765720401001207259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
36Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +13
14Foul points24
72Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.2
32.932.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 12.6
8011
#14
20.80.5
21.921.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
25.70.2
25.224.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
red by 9.9
15.70.5
16.415.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Third
9265
#38
7.80.2
7.37.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 6.1
8151
#22
13.90.5
14.914.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4