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Red123
645945.2
963538.4
95919.9
Blue75
855723.6
923215.7
1052819.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8160204010012014012375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+70Teleop
+68Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +66
20Coral scored#9
71Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
12Processor points6
20Net points0
32Algae points6
103Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points20
123Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.5
38.640.1
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
red by 21.7
8557
#21
23.60.1
24.124.0
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Second
38.41.5
31.833.2
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
red by 19.4
19.00.1
19.519.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Third
9591
#28
9.91.5
3.34.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 5.7
9232
#12
15.70.1
16.216.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3