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Red172
1050211.8
815956.8
960964.2
Blue105
948372.4
645952.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13814050100150200172105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
22Coral scored#13
79Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
97Total teleop64
Reef
11L4#9
10L3#3
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +67
20Foul points0
172Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.5
63.764.2
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
blue by 8.2
72.40.7
73.172.4
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
Second
56.80.5
56.456.8
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
52.30.7
53.052.3
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Third
11.80.7
11.211.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
red by 4.0
7.91.0
8.87.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0