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Red156
1050211.8
815956.8
960964.2
Blue143
948372.4
645952.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13614180100120160180200220156143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
97Total teleop96
Reef
13L4#12
9L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +13
4Foul points6
156Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.5
63.263.7
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
blue by 8.2
72.40.1
73.073.1
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
Second
56.80.5
55.956.4
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
52.30.1
52.953.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Third
11.80.7
10.511.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
red by 4.0
7.90.1
8.88.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0