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Red134
603817.4
815956.8
960964.2
Blue145
948372.4
645952.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149140100120160180200134145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points27
48Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
13Coral scored#20
48Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
72Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#8
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
134Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.1
63.363.2
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
blue by 8.2
72.40.2
72.873.0
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
Second
56.80.1
56.055.9
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
52.30.2
52.752.9
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Third
6038
#20
17.40.2
17.617.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 9.6
7.90.4
8.48.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0