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Red164
948372.4
645952.3
Blue76
565523.9
815323.9
757630.6
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147765010020016476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+78Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +53
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
113Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#4
8L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
164Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.40.7
72.072.8
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
red by 41.8
7576
#25
30.60.1
30.730.6
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
Second
52.30.7
51.952.7
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
red by 28.4
8153
#21
23.90.1
24.023.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
7.91.0
7.48.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 16.0
23.90.1
24.023.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8