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Red57
1060926.5
708618.0
757019.5
Blue128
565523.9
815323.9
757630.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678420406010012014057128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+37
Endgame+53
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
48Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points18
57Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.2
26.726.5
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
blue by 4.2
7576
#25
30.60.8
29.930.7
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
Second
7570
#23
19.50.2
19.719.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End2.4
blue by 4.4
8153
#21
23.91.1
22.924.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
18.00.2
18.318.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2
blue by 5.8
23.91.1
22.824.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8