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Red140
603817.4
815956.8
960964.2
Blue112
948372.4
645952.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150140100120160180200220140112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave0
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points26
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
69Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
140Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.1
63.463.3
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
blue by 8.2
72.40.5
72.572.0
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
Second
56.80.1
56.056.0
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
52.30.5
52.451.9
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Third
6038
#20
17.40.1
17.717.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 9.6
7.90.7
8.07.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0