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Red107
91609.0
880010.5
948372.4
Blue140
565523.9
645952.3
603817.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10583050150200107140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
85Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points50
107Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.41.1
71.172.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
red by 20.1
52.30.9
45.146.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Second
8800
#37
10.51.5
10.612.1
Auto1.3
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 13.3
23.91.2
18.419.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
Third
9160
#47
9.01.5
11.813.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.5
blue by 8.5
6038
#20
17.41.2
15.516.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned