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Red100
815810.1
944012.9
926414.7
Blue45
815323.9
943613.1
746515.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48452030406070809010010045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +10
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
14Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
68Foul points0
100Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9264
#22
14.71.2
16.215.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End2.2
blue by 9.2
8153
#21
23.90.4
15.415.8
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Second
9440
#29
12.91.2
12.911.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 2.2
7465
#24
15.10.4
16.016.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
8158
#32
10.11.2
14.012.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.6
blue by 3.1
9436
#41
13.10.4
10.110.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed