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Red92
815956.8
915523.2
1042513.0
Blue85
1060926.5
757630.6
1024411.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90602040801001201401609285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points50
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
58Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#5
6L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
12Foul points4
92Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.1
50.150.2
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 26.2
7576
#25
30.62.0
25.927.8
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
Second
9155
#12
23.20.1
16.016.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.3
End3.2
blue by 3.2
26.52.4
16.418.8
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
Third
13.00.1
12.612.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.0
red by 1.8
11.21.8
16.718.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed