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Red32
1038315.5
96017.4
Blue25
91740.8
36467.4
1059817.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395001001502002503225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +16
3Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
32Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.3
17.817.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 2.2
17.71.9
19.717.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End6.9
Second
7.60.3
12.612.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 0.2
3646
#45
7.42.6
14.712.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Third
9601
#34
7.40.3
4.64.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.5
red by 6.7
9174
#50
0.82.6
8.45.8
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned