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Red69
947314.1
923217.9
1042841.3
Blue84
960964.2
81739.7
602523.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59114501001506984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
55Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
69Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.5
35.435.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
blue by 22.9
64.22.1
60.458.3
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
Second
9232
#16
17.90.5
15.516.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.1
blue by 5.2
23.01.9
24.522.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
9473
#14
14.10.7
11.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
red by 4.4
8173
#19
9.72.6
16.614.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned