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Red58
815323.9
602523.0
1013213.2
Blue116
1038315.5
1018019.7
948372.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6012705010015020058116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+48
Endgame+60
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
37Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
8Foul points6
58Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8153
#21
23.91.4
16.815.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 48.5
72.40.0
71.171.1
Auto19.4
Teleop47.4
End5.6
Second
23.01.1
25.624.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 3.3
19.71.9
19.717.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Third
13.23.2
13.216.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
blue by 2.4
15.52.3
15.517.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned