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Red23
880010.5
954510.8
Blue53
944012.9
708618.0
1050211.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625801001502002353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
23Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9545
#39
10.84.1
21.417.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 7.3
18.00.2
20.520.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2
Second
8800
#37
10.54.1
14.710.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 2.4
9440
#29
12.90.2
13.012.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Third
7.95.8
7.913.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 4.0
11.85.8
11.817.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed