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Red54
1060926.5
64159.8
878310.5
Blue29
1024310.2
826423.6
91609.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55612040801005429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +27
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
37Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
12Foul points12
54Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.510.1
26.516.4
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
red by 2.9
8264
#11
23.64.6
18.614.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
8783
#35
10.51.4
13.712.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End1.2
red by 0.3
10243
#36DQ
10.23.0
10.213.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
6415
#40
9.81.4
17.315.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.5
red by 0.9
9160
#47
9.04.6
16.311.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed