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Red51
774215.5
708618.0
947314.1
Blue13
1024411.2
91609.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464820304060705113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
6Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
26Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
14Foul points2
51Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.8
19.318.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2
red by 6.8
11.22.5
18.516.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Second
7742
#26
15.50.6
12.712.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 6.6
9160
#47
9.03.7
13.39.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Third
9473
#14
14.10.8
12.611.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
red by 6.5
7.63.7
12.38.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed