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Red95
1059817.7
565523.9
1042841.3
Blue80
944012.9
915523.2
1018019.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8342020601001201409580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points41
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
18Processor points0
8Net points8
26Algae points8
58Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
95Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.8
35.936.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
red by 18.1
9155
#12
23.21.9
16.118.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Second
23.91.3
19.620.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
red by 4.2
19.71.9
16.818.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Third
17.70.8
17.818.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End6.9
red by 4.7
9440
#29
12.91.9
11.613.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned