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Red41
746515.1
954510.8
1060926.5
Blue31
36467.4
603817.4
1013213.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5945020801004131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
30Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
41Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.2
18.817.7
Auto3.1
Teleop21.6
End1.7
red by 9.0
6038
#20
17.41.2
16.815.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Second
7465
#24
15.11.2
16.415.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 2.0
13.21.2
13.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
9545
#39
10.81.2
16.215.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End0.7
red by 3.4
3646
#45
7.41.2
12.010.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed